Whither Macroeconomic Stability in Europe?

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Series Details Vol.46, No.3, May-June 2011, p122-123
Publication Date May 2011
ISSN 0020-5346
Content Type

Will the eurozone turn into a collection of emerging markets? 'Emerging markets' suffer chronically from elevated macroeconomic instability. In the good years of expanding global liquidity they attract large capital inflows at low real interest rates and enjoy a credit-funded boom. In the bad years, when creditors suddenly retract, they find themselves deprived of fiscal and monetary policy options to smooth the decline in output and subject to high sovereign country risk premia, which choke the economy.

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