Now Is Not the Time for Ukraine to Negotiate

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Series Details Number 147
Publication Date December 2022/January 2023
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Summary:

A range of Western politicians, analysts and military figures have begun to argue that Ukraine should start peace talks with Russia. Some fear escalation leading to nuclear war. Some are concerned at the human costs to Ukraine of continued fighting. Some worry about the economic costs to the West of supporting Ukraine and sanctioning Russia. Some fear that the West may jeopardise its own defence by transferring too many weapons to Ukraine. But whatever their motivations, when Western commentators write of the need “to moderate [Ukrainian] public expectations of a decisive victory”, they are implying that Ukraine should be prepared to leave Putin in possession of at least some of the territory that, prior to 2014, Russia itself had accepted as Ukrainian.  A ceasefire now would leave Ukraine vulnerable to a renewed Russian attack. Ukraine needs weapons, not wavering.

Source Link Link to Main Source https://www.cer.eu/publications/archive/bulletin-article/2022/now-not-time-ukraine-negotiate
Alternative sources
  • https://www.cer.eu/sites/default/files/bulletin_147_article1_IB.pdf
Related Links
ESO Records
Cardiff EDC: Russian military invasion of Ukraine (2022) https://www.europeansources.info/record/russia-invades-ukraine-february-2022/
ECFR Policy Briefs: No. 452: Peace versus Justice: The coming European split over the war in Ukraine https://www.europeansources.info/record/peace-versus-justice-the-coming-european-split-over-the-war-in-ukraine/
CER Insight: July 2022: First Help Ukraine Win the War. Then Help it Win the Peace https://www.europeansources.info/record/first-help-ukraine-win-the-war-then-help-it-win-the-peace/

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