European Business Cycle Indicators – 1st Quarter 2017

Author (Corporate)
Publisher
Series Details No. 15, April 2017
Publication Date 07/04/2017
ISBN 978-92-79-64782-6
ISSN 2443-8049
EC KC-BF-17-015-EN-N
Content Type

This technical paper is divided into two parts. It first presents the developments in survey indicators in the 1st Quarter of 2017. The second part deals with the Special Topic 'Nowcasting the direction of euro-area GDP growth'. The authors argue that correctly predicting the profile of GDP growth (i.e. increase or decrease) can, at times, be even more important from an economic or policy point of view than focusing on predicting the growth rate of GDP, for experience shows that models producing high-quality point forecasts do not necessarily provide particularly reliable information on the growth profile.

Source Link Link to Main Source http://dx.publications.europa.eu/10.2765/46681
Related Links
European Commission: DG for Economic and Financial Affairs: European Business Cycle Indicators 1st Quarter 2017 https://ec.europa.eu/info/sites/info/files/tp015_en.pdf

Subject Categories
Countries / Regions