Analysis: EU referendum – the state of public opinion

Results of a YouGov poll published in September 2015 on how people will vote in the proposed EU referendum in the United Kingdom. The polling conducted over the summer of 2015 revealed the challenges and opportunities for those campaigning to stay in or leave the European Union.

Asked which way they are most likely to vote and whether they may change their mind 50% are currently leaning towards voting to stay, 40% are leaning towards voting to leave, 10% have no idea at all. The core pro-EU support, those who say will definitely vote to stay, is 31% with a further 19% saying they would currently vote to remain but could be persuaded to vote to leave. Core support for leaving is 23%, with 17% currently voting to leave but open to persuasion.

However YOUGOV also published on the 28 September 2015 a new poll which showed that for the first time since November 2014 more British people wanted to leave the EU than remain a member.

• Primary Source

ESO: In Focus: Brexit - The United Kingdom and the European Union http://www.europeansources.info/record/brexit-the-united-kingdom-and-the-european-union/

YouGov: News: Tag: Europe https://yougov.co.uk/news/categories/europe/

CAPX, 25.09.15: I’m going to stick my neck Out: Brexit will win the EU referendum http://www.capx.co/im-going-to-stick-my-neck-out-brexit-will-win-the-eu-referendum/

YouGov: News, 28.09.15: EU referendum: Brexit ahead by 2 https://yougov.co.uk/news/2015/09/28/eu-referendum-brexit-leads-2/

Blog: UK in a Changing Europe, 07.10.15: Disaster scenario for Cameron on Europe http://ukandeu.ac.uk/disaster-scenario-for-cameron-on-europe/

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