Europe and the US election: hope for the best, prepare for the worst

Author (Person)	Bond, Ian
Publisher	Centre for European Reform (CER)
Series Title	CER Insight
Publication Date	January 2024
Content Type	Research Paper
	Summary: European governments needed to plan on the basis that Trump was more likely than not to win the 2024 US presidential election. But even if Trump lost in 2024, the scale and nature of his electoral support in 2016 and 2020 showed that a significant part of American society had turned away from democratic values and international engagement in favour of populism, protectionism and isolationism. Europe should have started hedging against a less friendly America in 2016, as soon as the election results were in. It should not waste any more time.
Source Link	Link to Main Source https://www.cer.eu/insights/europe-and-us-election-hope-best-prepare-worst Alternative Source 1 Alternative sources https://www.cer.eu/sites/default/files/insight_IB_US_elections_22.1.24.pdf
Related Links	ESO Records CER Bulletin: No. 136, Feb./Mar. 2021: Transatlantic Relations for the Biden Era and Beyond https://www.europeansources.info/record/transatlantic-relations-for-the-biden-era-and-beyond/ CER Insight: Nov 2020: Americans Choose Their President: Europe Must Live with the Consequences https://www.europeansources.info/record/americans-choose-their-president-europe-must-live-with-the-consequences/ CRS Insights: IF12302, Feb. 2023: U.S.-European Relations in the 118th Congress https://www.europeansources.info/record/u-s-european-relations-in-the-118th-congress/
Subject Categories	Politics and International Relations
Subject Tags	Bilateral Relations, Presidential Elections
Countries / Regions	United States
International Organisations	European Union [EU]