Quantifying the Economic Effects of the Single Market in a Structural Macromodel

Author (Person)
Author (Corporate)
Publisher
Series Title
Series Details Number 094
Publication Date 08/02/2019
ISSN 2443-8022
Content Type

Summary:

This paper examines the macro-economic benefits of the Single Market in goods and services by simulating a counterfactual scenario in which tariffs and non-tariff barriers are reintroduced. Model simulations show how the reintroduction of trade barriers in such a counterfactual would lead to significantly lower trade flows between the Member States. Lower trade openness also means reduced market size and less competition. Using empirical evidence on the effect of the Single Market on firms’ mark-ups over marginal costs, we add these effects to the direct trade effects to come to a total estimate of the economic benefits of the Single Market of between 8% and 9% higher GDP on average for the EU.

Source Link Link to Main Source https://ec.europa.eu/info/publications/quantifying-economic-effects-single-market-structural-macromodel_en
Alternative sources
  • https://ec.europa.eu/info/sites/info/files/economy-finance/dp094_en.pdf
Subject Categories ,
Subject Tags
International Organisations