Arab futures: three scenarios for 2025

Author (Corporate)
Series Title
Series Details No.22, February 2015
Publication Date February 2015
ISBN 978-92-9198-255-4
ISSN 1830-9747
EC QN-AF-14-005-EN-N
Content Type

Report edited by Florence Gaub and Alexandra Laban.

This report is the outcome of three sessions that convened a group of experts, the Arab Foresight Group, during 2014. It takes into account projections made by a wide array of organisations and is based to the maximum extent possible on available data.

It reduces speculation to a bare minimum, and identifies the relative certainties or 'megatrends' which concern the Middle East region and which are not likely to change over the next decade; perhaps more importantly, it also identifies six game-changers: those areas where policy-makers will influence the course of events by their choices. Depending on these choices, three probable scenarios have been hypothesised for the year 2025.

Source Link http://www.iss.europa.eu/uploads/media/Report_22_Arab_futures.pdf
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