Quantifying the potential macroeconomic effects of the Europe 2020 strategy: stylised scenarios

Author (Corporate)
Series Title
Series Details No.424, September 2010
Publication Date September 2010
ISBN 978-92-79-14910-8
ISSN 1725-3187
EC KC-AI-10-424-EN-N
Content Type ,

An essential part of the Europe 2020 strategy consists of reforms with a medium- to long-term horizon that focus on promoting the sustainability of public finances and enhancing potential growth.

Building on structural reform simulations with the DSGE model QUEST III, this paper presents several stylised scenarios combining fiscal consolidation efforts with differentiated progress in implementing structural reforms to explore the possible extent of gains from such reforms.

The results confirm that if the EU succeeds in generating necessary reform momentum, GDP could increase by up to 7% by 2020. The extent of the benefits will crucially depend on the depth and breadth of undertaken reforms, however.

Source Link http://ec.europa.eu/economy_finance/publications/economic_paper/2010/ecp424_en.htm
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