Scenar 2020 – Scenario study on agriculture and the rural world

The Scenar 2020 study aims at identifying of future trends and driving forces that will be the framework for the European agricultural and rural economy on the horizon of 2020.

Scenar 2020 provides a systematic review of the primary variables that rural and agricultural policies have to take into account. These are

+ the rural demographic patterns,
+ the agricultural technology,
+ the agricultural markets, and
+ the natural and social constraints on land use that are likely to exist in 2020.

An update of the original 2007 report was issued in December 2009. The objective of the Scenar 2020-II study was to refine and improve the identification of major future trends and driving factors – and the perspectives and challenges resulting from them – provided by the initial Scenar 2020 study (December 2006) on the future of European agriculture and the rural world. In this respect the study does not aim at evaluating the impact of potential policy changes but to compare how the agricultural sector might evolve under different, and somewhat extreme, pathways which, to a large, although not full extent, follow the assumptions of the first study.

European Commission: DG Agriculture and Rural Development: Analysis > External Studies: Scenar 2020-II – Update of scenario study on agriculture and the rural world. Final report, December 2009 http://ec.europa.eu/agriculture/analysis/external/scenar2020ii/index_en.htm

Blogactiv.eu: Brian Gardner, 16.3.10: Scenar 2020 update raises important policy questions http://briangardner.blogactiv.eu/2010/03/16/scenar-2020-update-raises-important-policy-questions/?utm_source=EurActiv+Newsletter&utm_campaign=b1205a4f17-Bmail&utm_medium=email

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