Author (Person) | Bower, Helen | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Publisher | ProQuest Information and Learning | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Series Title | In Focus | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Series Details | 30.11.01 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Publication Date | 30/11/2001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Content Type | News, Overview, Topic Guide | In Focus | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
After negotiations which have taken place around the world, from Japan to Argentina, from The Netherlands to Germany, an agreement on the operational rules for the Kyoto Protocol was finally reached in Morocco on 10 November 2001, paving the way for its ratification. The 180 members of the United Framework Convention on Climate Change agreed on the legal text covering the procedures and institutions needed to make the protocol fully operational at the 7th Session (COP7) held in Marrakech from 29 October until 10 November 2001. This follows the political agreement reached in July 2001 on how to implement the protocol. Speaking about the agreement, Michael Zammit Cujar, the Convention's Executive Secretary, said,
The Protocol will enter into force and become legally binding after it has been ratified by at least 55 Parties to the Convention, including industrialised countries representing at least 55% of the total 1990 carbon dioxide emissions from this group. By 26 October 2001, there were 84 signatories to the Kyoto Protocol and of those 43 had ratified it, including one industrialised country (Romania). Background Climate Change: The Issues and the Evidence During the twentieth century there was an unprecedented increase in the average temperature on the surface of the earth due to human activities, in particular in energy consumption, with potentially serious effects on the climate. The average surface temperature rose by 0.6% during the twentieth century and scientific evidence concluded that most of this was attributable to human activities such as de-forestation and the burning fossil fuels, both of which cause emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2), and other 'greenhouse gases'. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) was established in 1988 by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) and the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) to assess the scientific, technical and socio-economic information relevant to an understanding of the risk of human-induced climate change. In a worse case scenario, it suggests that average global temperatures could rise by 5.5% by 2100 and sea levels by 90 centimetres. The IPCC also produces assessment reports based on published, peer-reviewed scientific literature and thus these are accepted as the consensus of international scientific opinion. The first assessment report was published in 1990 and was an important tool in the negotiations for the UNFCCC, adopted in 1992. Its second, 'Climate Change 1995', provided key input to the negotiations which led to the Kyoto Protocol of 1997. Its third assessment report, Climate Change 2001, was published in September 2001. Using material from this report, Robert Watson, Chair of the IPCC, gave a substantial keynote speech to COP6 Part 2 on 19 July 2001, in which he said that most of the observed warming of the last 50 years is attributable to human activities and concluded that:
Recent figures show that it is the developed world which is the biggest polluter of the world's atmosphere, emitting vast amounts of CO2 gases from the activities of routine daily life such as travelling by car and heating one's home. The following charts illustrate the world's worst polluters and the amount of CO2 emitted per capita in these regions. The United Nations Convention on Climate Change The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) was signed at the United Nations Conference on Environment and Development (the Earth Summit) in Rio de Janeiro in 1992 as the first major initiative by the international community to confront the challenge of global warming. More than 150 countries signed up to the framework Convention obliging them to take control of their greenhouse gas emissions. More specifically, Europe together with other developed countries undertook to stabilise emissions at their 1990 levels by the year 2000. Very few countries have met this voluntary target. Since the Earth Summit in Rio there has been a succession of follow-up Conferences of the Parties (COPs) - Berlin, 1995; Geneva, 1996 (COP2), Kyoto, 1997 (COP3), Buenos Aires, 1998 (COP4), Bonn, 1999 (COP5), The Hague, 2000 (COP 6, Part 1) and Bonn, 2001 (COP 6, Part 2) - to allow participating countries to evaluate progress and set revised targets for the years beyond 2000.
180 countries are involved in the negotiation proceedings. They form a number of distinct but sometimes inter-related groups:
Kyoto Protocol At COP3 in Kyoto in 1997, a Protocol to the Convention was adopted by the parties to the Convention. This set the following binding commitments for industrialised (Annex 1) countries regarding the reduction of emissions from 6 greenhouse gases (carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide, hydrofluorocabons, perfluorocarbons and sulphur hexafluoride, measured in terms of their carbon dioxide equivalent) during the period 2008-2012:
These targets would together constitute an average 5.2% reduction below 1990 levels. Some scientists say it would take carbon cuts of 60% or more to prevent dangerous climatic instability, so Kyoto is a small though necessary step. The European Union was anxious to see binding commitments for actual reductions. Other non-EU countries wanted more flexibility in meeting their targets and the United States objected to the exclusion of targets for developing countries. Kyoto mechanisms The Kyoto Protocol included three market mechanisms as a cost-effective means of achieving reductions:
These flexible mechanisms would allow countries which have pledged emission cuts over the next decade to fulfil their pledges in part by means other than domestic policies and measures. The goal of these measures is to reduce the overall price of meeting Kyoto targets by allowing countries with high reduction costs to acquire 'emission credits' from countries where reductions are cheaper or free. In addition, there is an option to use 'carbon sinks' or ecosystems such as forests, grasslands and oceans which can remove carbon from the atmosphere by absorbing and storing it, thus offsetting CO2 emissions. Sink activities undertaken since 1990 can be counted in the emissions target which absorb carbon dioxide, to gain emission credits. The range of activities that can be used as carbon sinks is often referred to as LULUCF (land use , land-use change and forestry), and is the subject of considerable scientific debate about uncertainties and risks. United States' position on Kyoto As early as 1992, the United States objected strongly to the exclusion of developing countries (including China and India) from any commitment to reduce emissions. The Rio Earth Summit had concluded that there should be no participation by developing countries until the industrialised countries (the principal polluters) had shown willingness to reduce emissions. In Kyoto in 1997, the United States sought greater use of flexible mechanisms, including emissions trading, as an alternative to actual emission cuts. Although the United States is a signatory to both the Convention and the Protocol, it was always doubtful that the agreement of the United States Senate could be obtained and, under the Clinton administration in 1997, the Senate rejected Kyoto by 95 to 0 (the Byrd-Hagel Resolution). On 12 March 2001, in a letter to Senators Hagel, Helms, Craig and Roberts on global climate change in general and the Kyoto Protocol in particular, recently-elected President Bush wrote:
He said his administration would not be seeking mandatory reductions in carbon dioxide emissions from power stations. Such limits on carbon dioxide emissions would lead to higher energy prices. Carbon dioxide is not listed as a pollutant in the United States Clean Air Act. The US refused to ratify Kyoto but is a Convention signatory, so it still participates in international climate change talks. Bush says that climate change is an urgent problem which he will tackle - but not through Kyoto. No alternative plan has yet appeared. An account of the United States' objections to Kyoto can be seen in the speech, Remarks to resumed Sixth Conference of Parties, given by Paula Dobriansky, Under Secretary of State for Global Affairs on 23 July 2001, the day the Parties reached an agreement on Kyoto. As the world's principal polluter, responsible for about 25% of all greenhouse gas emissions, the United States was likely to bear the major cost of implementing the Kyoto rules. The European Union, on the other hand, is in a much better position. The European Climate Change Programme (ECCP) was established by the European Commission in March 2000 to help identify the most environmentally and cost effective additional measures enabling the EU to meet its target under the Kyoto Protocol, namely an 8% reduction in greenhouse gases from 1990 levels by 2008-2012. A report published in June 2001 concluded that the potential of cost-effective options is twice the size of the EU's required emission reduction. A press release (IP/01/816) summarises its findings. Progress on Kyoto Environmental ministers from 70 countries, meeting at COP4 in Buenos Aires in November 1998, agreed on a two year Plan of Action or timetable for negotiation of the many practical issues relating to the Protocol and its implementation. The 140 point action plan was to be completed by COP6, 2000.
On 3 November 2000, the Commission published its briefing paper The EU's positions for COP6. For the EU, the main goal at COP6 was to ensure decisions are taken that both enable Parties to launch the process of ratifying the Protocol and safeguard the Protocol's environmental integrity and credibility. The key issues were seen as:
The Sixth Session Conference of the Parties (COP6) to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) was held in The Hague from 13 to 25 November 2000 but did not result in agreement on all issues and was suspended. In her report to the European Parliament at the end of November 2000, European Commissioner Margot Wallström said:
So that the 'Buenos Aires Plan of Action' did not expire without any concrete result or follow-up, it was decided to suspend COP6 and resume the conference in 2001 as COP6 Part 2.
The resumed Sixth Session (COP6 Part 2) took place in Bonn from 16 to 27 July 2001, with 180 countries participating. On 6 July 2001 the Commission had published a supplementary briefing paper EU position for the Bonn conference on climate change, 19-27 July 2001, which confirmed that its main negotiating position remained unchanged since COP6 Part 1 at The Hague. The goal of deciding on the implementation rules for the 1997 Kyoto Protocol could only be achieved through some compromise between the European Union and the non-EU developed countries. The EU sought actual reductions in each industrialised country while the non-EU developed countries, especially Japan, wanted to make greater use of flexible mechanisms and sinks to reach their targets. With the United States - the world's largest CO2 polluter refusing to ratify the protocol, the willingness of Japan to agree to the proposed rules became crucial if the Kyoto Protocol were to be saved. A draft decision, Core elements for the implementation of the Buenos Aires Plan of Action, presented on 21 July 2001, represented a hard compromise involving far-reaching concessions for the EU on issues such as the inclusion of sinks, financing and supplementarity. The compromise corresponded to many of the wishes of other countries such as Japan and Canada but did not reflect the EU's preferred option. However, the EU was unable to achieve a better result and after 48 hours of continuous negotiation an agreement was reached on 23 July 2001. Bonn Agreement on Climate Change The Bonn agreement should make it possible to ratify Kyoto by 2002. The principle features of the agreement are:
Compliance system: the Kyoto Protocol has special features, targets, deadlines, emissions market mechanisms, that require a strong compliance system. National action plans, giving priority to domestic action will have to be developed. Countries which fail to meet targets in one period will have targets increased in the next period and non-compliant countries will also be excluded from the emissions trading market. A decision on the legally binding nature of the compliance system was postponed to a later meeting. Seventh Conference of the Parties COP 7, Marrakech, November 2001 The parties to the Convention met again in 2001, at the Seventh Conference of the Parties (COP-7) held in Marrakech from the 29 October until 10 November. The explicit aim was to finalise the operational rules of the Kyoto Protocol. The Executive Secretary of the Convention, Michael Zammit Cutajar, speaking ahead of the Conference, said,
The main work at Marrakech was to adopt ten draft decisions completed at Bonn. In addition three draft decisions (addressing 'sinks', mechanisms and compliance) which were discussed but not completed at Bonn and two (on policies and measures, and reporting and review,) which were not discussed were also due to be taken up at Marrakech so that the 15 draft decisions could be adopted together as a package.
At the start of the Ministerial Climate conference, the European Union stated its determination to reach decisions which would enable the Kyoto Protocol to enter into force. Head of the EU delegation, Belgian State Secretary, Olivier Deleuze, said,
European Commissioner for the Environment, Margot Wallström, added:
While at Bonn it was the EU who took the opposing stance, at Marrakech it was Japan and Russia who threatened ratification of the Protocol. Russia sought extra 'credit' for the extra 33 million tons of carbon a year that it claims would be absorbed by its vast forests under environmental management. This was finally agreed upon despite hesitation from Japan who may need to buy carbon credits from Russia and feared that careless compliance by Russia would limit the latter's ability to do so. Japan may need to buy credits because its individual target of a 6% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions is one of the hardest of the Kyoto national goals, considering that Japan is relatively energy-efficient. However, Japan also succeeded in making it easier for countries to be able to sell credits for surplus emissions or carbon sinks and got an assurance that penalties for non-compliance would not be increased after ratification of the treaty. The Marrakech Accords By forging a compromise between Russia and Japan, all parties successfully reached agreement on the Marrakech Accords. The main features of the agreement fall into three areas: the compliance system, the regulatory framework, and monitoring, reporting and review.
In addition to decisions on the three key issues there were some other noteworthy developments at Marrakech. Important decisions were taken for the benefit of the Least Developed Countries (LDC) that are most vulnerable to the adverse effects of climate change. A LDC Expert Group will be established with the participation of the industrialised countries to help prepare National Adaptation Programmes for Action (NAPA) and promote the exchange of best practices through networking. The necessary financial resources for the NAPAs will be provided through voluntary contributions from donors. So far only Canada has made a pledge of CAN$ 10 million. Turkey also confirmed that it will become a party to the UNFCCC soon following agreement that it will remain in Annex I of the Convention and withdraw from Annex II. This means that during the Kyoto second period it will be able to take on a quantified limitation or reduction commitment. The Central Group 11 confirmed that the Czech Republic has completed its ratification of the protocol joining Cyprus and Romania. Luxembourg confirmed that it had completed its internal ratification procedures and so is ready to ratify at the same time as the EC and the other Member States. More information on the agreement reached at Marrakech can be found in the European Commission DG Environment's final report on the Marrakech conference. Reaction to Marrakech The agreement at Marrakech has been widely hailed as a significant step forward in the battle against climate change. Michael Zammit Cutajar, who has been the Convention's secretary for ten years, said,
The European Union declared that they had achieved their objective to make Kyoto operational. Oliver Deleuze, head of the EU delegation said,
Environment Commissioner Margöt Wallstrom called the agreement,
However, environmental organisations were more cautious in their praise. Greenpeace welcomed the agreement but called it 'a hard won battle for a token outcome' and said there was much more to be done,
Friends of the Earth International were also critical, welcoming the move but saying that it did not go far enough,
From Kyoto to Marrakech to Johannesburg Following the agreement on the operational rulebook at Marrakech, the Kyoto Protocol should be ratified ahead of the United Nations World Summit on Sustainable Development in Johannesburg in 2002. The European Union has announced that it aims to ratify next year. If Kyoto is ratified by enough countries for it to enter into force over the next year then this will certainly send a positive message to the Johannesburg summit on the need for international co-operation to combat climate change and the potential of multilateral agreements. However, the Kyoto Protocol still lacks the support of the United States of America, the world's worst polluter. The progress on emission credits and carbon sinks at Marrakech certainly offer countries more flexibility within the Kyoto Protocol. If this could persuade the United States to ratify Kyoto then that would be the real success of Marrakech and the last decade of climate change negotiations. Further information within European Sources Online:
Further information can be seen in these external links: EU Institutions European Commission DG Environment
European Commission Press and Communication Service
Memos:
Speeches:
International Organisations United Nations: Framework Convention on Climate Change
United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change Secretariat: Seventh Session of the Conference Parties (COP-7)
United Nations: United Nations Environment Programme
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (WMO and UNEP) International Energy Agency OECD Environment
United Nations: World Summit on Sustainable Development World Bank Group National Organisations United Kingdom. Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs
Germany: Federal Environment Ministry Germany: UK Embassy United States. Department of State
United States. Environmental Protection Agency Japan. Ministry of the Environment
Non-Governmental organisations Friends of the Earth, Europe Greenpeace World Wide Fund for Nature, Europe (WWF) Climate Independent Media Center
Climate Network Europe
International Institute for Sustainable Development, Canada
Pew Center on Global Climate Change, Arlington, Virginia, United States
Asia - Pacific Network on Climate Change News Financial Times
BBC News
Further and subsequent information on the subject of this week's In Focus can be found by In Focus can be found by a search in European Sources Online: insert 'Climate change', 'Kyoto' or 'Marrakech' in the keyword field. Helen Bower, Freda Carroll, KnowEurope Researcher An agreement on the operational rules for the Kyoto Protocol was finally reached in Morocco on 10 November 2001, paving the way for its ratification. |
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Subject Categories | Environment |